{"id":1677,"date":"2017-04-18T22:25:42","date_gmt":"2017-04-18T15:25:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.vtrlogistics.com.vn\/?p=1677"},"modified":"2017-04-18T22:25:42","modified_gmt":"2017-04-18T15:25:42","slug":"nhap-sieu-khien-gia-tang-ap-luc-len-ty-gia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtrlogistics.com.vn\/?p=1677","title":{"rendered":"NH\u1eacP SI\u00caU KHI\u1ebeN GIA T\u0102NG \u00c1P L\u1ef0C L\u00caN T\u1ef6 GI\u00c1"},"content":{"rendered":"
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(HQ Online)- Tuy t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u00e0 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u0111ang c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng cao. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1eb7t ra lo ng\u1ea1i, li\u1ec7u \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i do s\u1ef1 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c nh\u1eadp si\u00eau.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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T\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng nh\u1eadp si\u00eau khi\u1ebfn c\u1ea7u USD t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc. \u1ea2nh: H.D\u1ecaU.<\/em><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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T\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Theo s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a XNK c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5ng c\u1ee5c H\u1ea3i quan, t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft qu\u00fd I\/2017, t\u1ed5ng kim ng\u1ea1ch XNK \u0111\u1ea1t h\u01a1n 91,21 t\u1ef7 USD, t\u0103ng 19,9%, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n 15,16 t\u1ef7 USD so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m 2016. Trong \u0111\u00f3, t\u1ed5ng kim ng\u1ea1ch XK c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ea1t g\u1ea7n 44,64 t\u1ef7 USD, t\u0103ng 15,1% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i; t\u1ed5ng kim ng\u1ea1ch NK \u0111\u1ea1t h\u01a1n 46,57 t\u1ef7 USD, t\u0103ng 24,9% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m 2016. Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a c\u1ea3 n\u01b0\u1edbc 3 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2017 \u0111\u00e3 th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t g\u1ea7n 1,94 t\u1ef7 USD, b\u1eb1ng 4,3% kim ng\u1ea1ch XK. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, v\u00e0o c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m 2016, c\u1ea3 n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t si\u00eau 776 tri\u1ec7u USD.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh nh\u1eadp si\u00eau quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ecf \u0111\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP trong qu\u00fd I\/2017, khi GDP qu\u00fd n\u00e0y t\u0103ng th\u1ea5p \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong 3 n\u0103m qua, ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ea1t 5,1%, trong khi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e0 5,5%. M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u00e1ng lo ng\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng nh\u1eadp si\u00eau l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 l\u00ean cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi th\u1eddi gian tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 trong 3 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn t\u0103ng. T\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 17\/4, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 trung t\u00e2m gi\u1eefa VND v\u00e0 USD \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc (NHNN) c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 \u1edf m\u1ee9c 22.322 VND\/USD, t\u0103ng 3 \u0111\u1ed3ng so v\u1edbi phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi NHNN b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 trung t\u00e2m. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp c\u1ee7a t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 trung t\u00e2m t\u1eeb cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 3, khi\u1ebfn t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 trung t\u00e2m li\u00ean t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea1t \u201c\u0111\u1ec9nh\u201d. So v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 trung t\u00e2m c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2017, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 trung t\u00e2m \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean t\u1edbi 164 \u0111\u1ed3ng, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n 1%.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u1edbi bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 \u00b13% \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ea7n m\u00e0 c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng cho ng\u00e0y 17\/4 l\u00e0 22.993 VND\/USD. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 b\u00e1n ra \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i ni\u00eam y\u1ebft \u0111ang \u1edf quanh m\u1ee9c 22.730-22.750 VND\/USD, c\u00f2n c\u00e1ch m\u1ee9c tr\u1ea7n kho\u1ea3ng 200 \u0111\u1ed3ng. B\u00e1o c\u00e1o t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 qu\u00fd I v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ea3 n\u0103m 2017 c\u1ee7a \u1ee6y ban Gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh qu\u1ed1c gia cho bi\u1ebft, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 VND\/USD t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong th\u00e1ng 1\/2017, nh\u01b0ng sau \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng khi li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp t\u0103ng cao t\u1eeb n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 2 cho t\u1edbi nay v\u00e0 lu\u00f4n ti\u1ec7m c\u1eadn s\u00e1t v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c tr\u1ea7n NHNN c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00c1p l\u1ef1c cao<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Trong th\u00f4ng c\u00e1o ph\u00e1t \u0111i, NHNN v\u1eabn kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 trung t\u00e2m linh ho\u1ea1t, k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p \u0111i\u1ec1u ti\u1ebft linh ho\u1ea1t nghi\u1ec7p v\u1ee5 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edf, duy tr\u00ec thanh kho\u1ea3n v\u00e0 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t VND li\u00ean ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u1edf m\u1ee9c h\u1ee3p l\u00fd nh\u1eb1m h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng g\u00e2y s\u1ee9c \u00e9p \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng 1 (th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng huy \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1ed1n t\u1eeb d\u00e2n c\u01b0, t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c). Nh\u1edd \u0111\u00f3, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn th\u1ea5p xa so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c tr\u1ea7n v\u00e0 t\u1eeb gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. V\u1ec1 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u00e0y, TS. Nguy\u1ec5n \u0110\u1ee9c Th\u00e0nh, Vi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edfng Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch (VEPR) cho r\u1eb1ng, NHNN \u0111ang \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 theo h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng v\u00e0 gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ebf ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng trong vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, n\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u1eef \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1. Theo \u0111\u00f3, NHNN \u0111\u00e3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n ch\u1eb7n \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i b\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u00e1 ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ea1i S\u1edf Giao d\u1ecbch NHNN.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 v\u1eady, v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m, c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia \u0111\u1ec1u t\u1ecf ra kh\u00f4ng m\u1ea5y l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 trong c\u1ea3 n\u0103m 2017. TS. \u0110inh Tu\u1ea5n Minh, Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh C\u00f4ng ty C\u1ed5 ph\u1ea7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng MarketIntello cho r\u1eb1ng, trong n\u0103m 2017, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 1,5-2%. Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (FED) n\u00e2ng t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 2 l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa trong n\u0103m v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 6 v\u00e0 th\u00e1ng 9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1. Ngo\u00e0i ra t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng nh\u1eadp si\u00eau c\u0169ng s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn c\u1ea7u USD t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n n\u0103m 2016.<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a \u1ee6y ban Gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 cao \u00e1p l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c FED t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t do hi\u1ec7n nay ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t huy \u0111\u1ed9ng VND v\u00e0 USD v\u1eabn nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c n\u1eafm gi\u1eef VND. Nh\u01b0ng b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u0169ng cho r\u1eb1ng, cung ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00e9m thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i h\u01a1n n\u0103m 2016, nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n b\u1edfi c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 trong n\u0103m 2016 sang th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao (theo k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch kho\u1ea3ng 3,5% t\u1ed5ng kim ng\u1ea1ch XK). H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, \u00e1p l\u1ef1c c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb c\u00e1n c\u00e2n v\u1ed1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng khi v\u1ed1n ODA b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 7\/2017.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cTuy nhi\u00ean, VND s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1edd ngu\u1ed3n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o c\u1ee7a NHNN\u201d, TS. \u0110inh Tu\u1ea5n Minh nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u00ean cho th\u1ea5y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00ean t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 m\u00e0 c\u00f2n l\u00ean ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng XNK t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi. Theo TS. \u0110inh Tu\u1ea5n Minh, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba y\u1ebfu th\u1eddi gian v\u1eeba qua, XK s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t gi\u00fap Vi\u1ec7t Nam theo \u0111u\u1ed5i m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf 6,7% trong n\u0103m 2017. V\u00ec th\u1ebf, Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u01a1 quan qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i th\u00edch h\u1ee3p, b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m cho h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a XK c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi s\u1ebd l\u00e0 t\u1eadp trung c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cao nh\u01b0 Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00ec ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y c\u00f2n l\u1edbn; ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u1ea7n \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u00f3a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng XK v\u00e0 h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 Hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i t\u1ef1 do (FTA) ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng c\u00f3 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cao nh\u01b0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, Nga, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 ASEAN.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

H\u01b0\u01a1ng D\u1ecbu<\/span><\/div>\n
Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0http:\/\/www.baohaiquan.vn\/<\/em><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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